Iran Election Guide

Donate to EAWV





Or, click to learn more

Search

Entries in Joshua Partlow (1)

Wednesday
Oct212009

UPDATED Afghanistan: Here is What Will Happen (in 4 Sentences)

Understanding “Mr Obama’s Wars”: Five Essential Analyses on Afghanistan and Pakistan
Afghanistan: The Real Importance of The“Non-Story” of 13,000 Support Troops

Receive our latest updates by email or RSS SUBSCRIBE TO OUR FEED
Buy Us A Cup of Coffee? Help Enduring America Expand Its Coverage and Analysis

KARZAI

UPDATE 21 October: Overwhelmed by the mass of media coverage on the developments in Afghanistan? Well, just before going to the best inside story --- Karen DeYoung and Joshua Partlow in The Washington Post --- let's have a look at EA's four sentences from yesterday and see how they hold up:

1. Karzai accepts runoff. Check.
2. US declares satisfaction. President Obama to reporters, "President Karzai, as well as the other candidates have shown that they have the interests of the Afghan people at heart." Check.


3. Closest challenger Abdullah Abdullah accepts runoff. Check.

4. Coalition government with both Karzai and Abdullah to be formed. Wait for it --- it will come soon after the 7 November run-off.

5. US then declares troop escalation. Could be a pre-Christmas present for all of us.


Let's cut through the acres of newsprint and hours of broadcasts trying to get to grips with the controversy over the Afghanistan Presidential election, after a UN-backed electoral commission threw out 28 percent of the votes for current President and front-runner Hamid Karzai and 18 percent of the votes for his closest challenger, Abdullah Abdullah.

Today Karzai will reluctantly accept the finding that he received less than 50 percent of the first-round tally and will have to go through a run-off vote, secure in the knowledge that he will win. The US Government will declare its satisfaction with the outcome, knowing that Karzai will remain as President after the next ballot. Abdullah will be offered a prominent position in a new "national unity" Government. If he accepts, Washington will pronounce that the political conditions have been met for a (size still to be determined) military escalation.

Spread the word.