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Saturday
Nov142009

The Latest from Iran (14 November): Political Fatigue?

NEW Iran: The Political Attack on the National Iranian American Council
Iran Text: Khatami on Legitimate Protest and Illegitimate Government (13 November)
Iran: Is This an “Unravelling” Protest Beyond Mousavi and Karroubi?
Iran: Why is Washington Belittling the Green Movement?
The Latest from Iran (13 November): Accusations

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IRAQ PROTEST WOMAN IN RED1330 GMT: Iranian sources report that a fifth post-election death sentence for threatening national security has been handed down in the case of Reza Khademi.

1325 GMT: A summary of Mir Hossein Mousavi's comments in his meeting with Mehdi Karroubi on Friday: "This great movement defends basic values. This movement says, 'Do not tell lies. Falsehood is condemned. Fraud is condemned.'

"Those who beat people must not think that by intimidating people they can make people stay home. Islam has taught people seek their rights without fear."

1145 GMT: Reviving? Mir Hossein Mousavi has met Mehdi Karroubi "to comfort [cleric]. about the physical assult on him by the security forces and plainclothes militia at the November 4th [13 Aban] rallies and to condemn and talk about the violent acts of the security and Basij militia forces against people, especially women on that day".

1140 GMT:Cracking Down on the Students. Abdollah Momeni, the spokesman of the reformist student organisation Darhat-Tahkim-Vahdat, has been sentenced to eight years in prison!

1130 GMT: When Arts and Politics Mix. President Ahmadinejad, acting as the head of the Revolutionary Cultural Council, has changed the existing constitution of the Academy of Arts, possibly to prepare for the dismissal of Mir Hossein Mousavi as the President of the Academy. Under the amendment, the President of the Academy would be appointed directly by the Iranian President, without any requirement for consultation with the members of the Academy.

During President Khatami’s administration, it was established that the President of the Academy would be elected by the permanent members of the Academy’s General Assembly, and the president as the head of the Revolutionary Cultural Court would approve the nominee.

0955 GMT: The Department to Combat US Conspiracies.

The Chair of the Human Rights Committee of Parliament's Human Rights Commmittee has suggested raising the amount devoted to exposing US human rights violations and combatting its conspiracies to $50 million. Earlier this year, the Ministry of Information formed a special agency with a $20 million budget to foreign-backed "velvet revolution".

0945 GMT: Oh, Yeah, We're Tough. A bit of posturing from the Iranian military, declaring that Iran is will mass-produce a new generation of air-to-air, heat-seeking missiles tracking targets via infrared emission.

Air Force commander Brigadier General Hassan Shah-Safi said that the missile haved been successfully test-fired in different situations. It has a range of up to 100 kilometers.

0750 GMT: At the risk of walking into a political firestorm, I have posted a separate entry on the current attacks on the National Iranian American Council.

0630 GMT: Days after the execution of Ehsan Fattahian, another Kurdish political dissident, Shirkooh Maarefi, is facing death for "activities against national security and armed combat".

0550 GMT: A very quiet morning for news from Iran. Indeed, looking back over the updates, a relatively development-free 48 hours. President Ahmadinejad's Wednesday night interview, for all its  important signals on the nuclear issue as well as his grab for power against the Tehran local government, has drifted away with little discussion. On the other side, the Khatami statement to academics on legitimate protest and illegitimate power has also received scant attention --- the reaction I have seen and heard points to scepticism over whether the former President has said anything of significance, particularly given his public absence on 13 Aban. The Mousavi statement on Monday to Jamaran has not resonated, and Mehdi Karroubi has been silent this week.

Of course, none of this means that everyone can pack up and go home --- no more to see in this post-election crisis. It does highlight, however, the debate over the path of the Green movement as it moves towards the next marker of 16 Azar (7 December) for mass demonstrations. Throughout this conflict, I have thought of the necessary linkage of a widespread movement "from below", with its energy and demands to be recognised and respected, with the political moves of political and clerical figures. However, Hashemi Rafsanjani is now pursuing a divergent agenda. Mousavi appears at a loss how to act beyond periodic statements, especially as he cannot link them to a symbolic public appearance. While Karroubi continues to inspire interest and hope in many, the last few days illustrate the fragility of relying on him. And, lacking that political lighting rod for their criticisms, the dissenting clerics of Qom have been muted since 13 Aban.

So, given the effect of the Government's constrictions and the toll of political complications on the efforts of "leaders", can the linkage be set aside for a different movement? In other words, can the Green Wave not only be propelled but directed from below? 13 Aban was a success in the sense that it proved resistance was ongoing, despite the lack of leadership from the top. The question may be whether that resistance, planning its next big move in just over three weeks, can translate symbolic defiance into pressure upon the regime between as well as during those high-profile moments.

Reader Comments (10)

When the movement gets to the current stage, surely, what is most needed is a relatively clear if flexible set of goals. SoG will need to arrive at some kind of clear formulation of what it wants, how it might attempt to obtain it, and (more privately) what it would settle for. Any articulation would, of course, lose it some supporters; but it might gain in strength what it would lose in breadth. Also, it needs to learn how maximally to exploit the differences in the leadership without necessarily helping to hand the country to Sepah on a plate. But thanks for keeping up the coverage when everyone else is going to sleep!

November 14, 2009 | Unregistered Commentermangybear

The thing I've learned about Iranians is, when you think they're not doing anything they're just doing something they don't want to tell everybody about. The rumored upcoming flashmob-style hijab protests will certainly shake things up if they come to pass! We must wait and see, as always.

November 14, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterRev Magdalen

@ Rev Magdalen - "flashmob-style hijab protests"? That sounds cool. Can you tell us some more about this, even if they are just rumours?

November 14, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterCatherine

@Catherine,

I just found on the 'Why We protest' forum that from 5th Azar women are being invited to take their scarves off for 15 minutes at 5.00 every day until 16th Azar. It's all over twitter too.
I'm not sure about the importance of the dates: 16 Azar is Student Day, but 5th is the day of the Navy... ?

November 14, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterWitteKr

@Catherine and @WitteKr Yes, those are the protests I meant. It's said the ladies will gather in different places all around the cities to do it so that Basiji won't have time to mobilize and attack them in just 15 minutes.

November 14, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterRev Magdalen

Hmm Mousavi's about to lose his job, and suddenly starts taking an interest in the revolution again. Way to shoot yourself in the foot YET AGAIN, Ahmadinejad!

November 14, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterRev Magdalen

     Regarding 1325gmt: Mir Hossein Mousavi, The naked and complex full truth must be withheld from the masses who are often confused by foreign influences. Certain dangerous temptations must be veiled although they are still part of the body of truth. The nuanced statements by the Islamic Republic's properly installed leaders are never lies. They are focussed and directive clarifications of the rulings of the faithful Servants of Allah.
     We will not be outmaneuvered. I told Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to get a translation of Saul Alinsky's "Rules For Radicals" to see what the Great-Satan-President Obama's Reverend Ayatollahs in the holy city of Chicago have taught him to use as strategy. But Mahmoud got involved with custom's agents confiscating copies of a DVD, "Best of Abbott and Costello."
     The Minister of Culture and Propaganda and poor Mahmoud are having a problem understanding the coded messages in the DVD. The hardest one, about a horse race has been, "Every Mudder must eat its fodder." Costello, speaking a regional dialect, seems to hear it as "Every Mother must eat its Father." Abbott says a "Mudder" is a horse that runs well on muddy race tracks, and fodder is food for horses. "Rules for Radicals" seems to be fodder for mudslinging. The West is devious and incoherent.
     Our rules are clear, God willing. But as necessity dictates, for every exigency there is a fatwah, for every rose a thorn, and for every hypocrisy a grand fatwah will transform it into justice. The West has their silly rules for radicals, but we have our magnificence of being right.
     The Revolutionary Guards are tracking down all the references. They have found some sites that will be banned from the univerisities:
   http://www.clown-ministry.com/index_1.php/articles/lou_costello_biography_abbott_and_costello_hey_abbott/" rel="nofollow">Abbott and Costello biography
http://www.abbottandcostello.net/" rel="nofollow">Abbott and Costello Website

November 15, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterAli Khamenei

@ WitteKr+Rev Magdalen
Thanks for the information. I did a search on the ‘Why We protest’ forum but came up with 0 results. Could you please post a link to the page in the forum where the details are mentioned. I'd like to alert some female friends in Tehran.
Thanks!

November 15, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterCatherine

@ Ali Khamenei
"I told Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to get a translation of Saul Alinsky’s “Rules For Radicals” to see what the Great-Satan-President Obama’s Reverend Ayatollahs in the holy city of Chicago have taught him to use as strategy."

Very funny! Whole post quite inspired. Thanks for the laugh.

November 15, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterCatherine

@Catherine
You can find the mentioning of the protest on Why We protest/Anonymous Iran here: http://iran.whyweprotest.net/news-current-events/58771-very-hard-read.html
And just look at this on Twitter:
http://twitter.com/#search?q=iranelection%20hijab%20protests

November 15, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterWitteKr

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